With today’s win over a very impressive Australia side, the Netherlands booked their place in the Round of 16 for this summer’s World Cup finals. All that remains about Group B is whether Holland or Chile will come out as group winners, a fact that we will all discover at the close of their game against each other next week. And both nation’s want nothing more than to come out on top, because despite already qualifying, the second place team in the group will likely have to face the probable winner’s of Group A, Brazil. Though I’ll admit my immense bias toward the Oranje, fans of great football should be rooting for the Netherlands in their next game against an overachieving Chilean side, because it could set the ball rolling towards one of the greatest finals in recent memory. Continue reading →
Coming into this World Cup, I don’t really think that anyone gave Group H a shot at being anything worthwhile. With Belgium, Russia, Algeria, and South Korea as its members, there’s no real excitement there. However, with its young and impressively hard working squad, Belgium were frontrunners to come out top of the group, causing commentators, writers, and analysts alike to call then the “dark horses” of the competition.
In fact, before the tournament began, Belgium were fifth favorites to win the cup.
Why, you might ask? A few reasons. First is their lineup. With a starting XI that boasts names like Eden Hazard, Vincent Kompany, Romelu Lukaku, and Thibaut Courtois, they seem like an imposing unit. They have players that won this year’s FA Cup, Barclays Premier League, La Liga, Belgian Pro League, and the Bundeliga, as well as ones that were runners up in the UEFA Champions League, Serie A, and the Russia Premier League. Clearly a talented bunch.
Next, there’s their squad depth. In many positions, they have like-for-like replacements that are usually as good as the starters. Should La Liga-winner Thibaut Courtois be out of commission, BPL-runner up Simon Mignolet is there to take his place. Kevin Mirallas needs a rest? Good thing they have Dries Mertens. Need someone more imposing in the attacking third than young Kevin De Bruyne? Marouane Fellaini should do the trick. With this much squad depth in many of their positions, they don’t have to be worrying about exhaustion, and are prepared for a long cup run, should that be necessary. I mean, just look at what their substitutes did on Tuesday, using Dries Mertens’ strike against Algeria as an example:
Finally, there’s their coach. Marc Wilmots is a decorated footballer in his own right. A 70 time-capped member of the Belgium squad, Die Kampfschwein (The Warpig) – as he was known to Schalke 04 supporters during his spells in Gelsenkirchen – is still Belgium’s leading goalscorer in the World Cup finals, with five goals over four tournaments (did not play during one). He’s seen many of his now first team players grow up, having been the Belgium assistant manager from 2009 to 2012, when he was appointed full manager of the side. If anyone knows the Belgium players, it’s Wilmots, and that’s why they’ve been getting results since he’s taken over.
So, it would seem that with such a weak group, and then potentially weak opposition in the form of the Group G runner-up (likely either the above-average USA or the self-destructing Portugal), there’s no reason that Belgium couldn’t make a good run for the cup. Unfortunately, their game against Algeria yesterday showed some chinks in the Red Devils’ armor that might spell disaster for them coming out of the group stages.
First is their full-back conundrum. Belgium seem to be blessed with more world-class center-backs than any other nation at these games. Unfortunately, that translates to a lack of men who are dedicated full-backs. Against Algeria, the Belgian back-four consisted of four full-time center-backs, with Vincent Kompany and Daniel Van Buyten playing their true roles, while Jan Vertonghen and Toby Alderweireld were shunted to the left and right sides, respectively. This translated to Vertonghen’s lack of positional understanding that gave away the Algerian penalty in the first half, as well as to the successful exploitation of Toby Alderweireld’s lack of speed on the right side throughout the match. While Belgium’s midfield and attack might be solid, their lack of full-backs in Brazil is a concern, especially since men such as Denis Odoi, Guillaume Gillet, Thomas Meunier, and Sébasiten Pocognoli were left off the plane.
Next is their lack of depth in the striker’s position. Romelu Lukaku has had a breakout year with Everton, on loan from Chelsea, and as long as he’s fit, will be the starting striker for the squad. With Christian Benteke’s unfortunate injury at the end of last season, Lukaku was left as Belgium’s only star striker. Wilmots called up two very young, and very untested strikers, in the form of Lille’s Divock Origi and Standard Liège’s Michy Batshuayi. Origi, who’s scored one goal in 16 appearances for Lille this year, won the golden ticket to Brazil, although Batshuayi, who scored three goals in 14 appearances would arguably have been a better like-for-like replacement for Benteke. Origi put in a decent effort in his substitute appearance against Algeria, but he only had one shot during his 38 minutes on the pitch, and made only three passes. If anything happens to Lukaku during this World Cup, Wilmots will have a tough decision about whether to put his trust in Origi, or to ask Everton wide-man Kevin Mirallas to play up front.
Finally, there’s this team’s lack of international experience, especially on the big stage. Belgium hasn’t qualified for a World Cup since 2002, where their record of 1-2-1 marked a round of 16 exit for the Red Devils against tough Brazilian opposition. As well, they haven’t qualified for a UEFA EUROs Finals since 2000, when they qualified as a co-host; if you remove that, they haven’t done so since 1984. Their only player to have played in a senior international tournament at all is 36 year-old defender Daniel Van Buyten, who was a member of the 2002 World Cup squad. Hopefully, being placed on such a large stage won’t cause these international newbies to make long-lasting mistakes. If they do, they might not be known as “World Cup dark horses,” but rather “World Cup chokers.”
Group E’s two games were near opposites. One was an absolute nailbiter, while the other was another routine win for a big footballing nation over some small-fry opposition. Regardless, both matches were absolutely brilliant to watch, and have some massive lessons for the teams to take away from them.
Switzerland vs. Ecuador
Latin American nations have done very well at this World Cup so far (barring Uruguay’s massively disappointing game yesterday). Wins from Brazil, Colombia, Chile, Costa Rica, and Mexico all seemed to come naturally to those squads, some believing that the climate has had something to do with it, and predicting that today would be no different. However, Switzerland had won their opening match over Spain in 2010, and have plenty of awesomely talented youth forming the backbone of their squad (see: Granit Xhaka, Xherdan Shaqiri, Ricardo Rodriguez, Josip Drmic, Fabian Schär, etc.). Betting odds favored Switzerland to win (6/4), while an Ecuador win was an 11/5 bet. A draw was even more unlikely, with a 21/10 bet. Essentially, nobody knew what was going to happen when these two sides collided.
With the untimely death of Ecuador’s talismanic forward, Cristian Benitez, Ecuador have missed a bit of bite up front. However, 22nd minute set play into the box from Walter Ayuví set up a header from Enner Valencia to make the game 1-0 to Ecuador. It looked as thought he Ecuadorians would be alright without Chucho after all.
Set plays seemed to be the story of this match, as it was set plays that took Ecuador down in the end. First, a corner from Ricardo Rodriguez set up Admir Mehmedi’s header to make the game 1-1.
The Swiss piled on the pressure after that, and it payed off. In the 93rd minute, a Ricardo Rodriguez’s low cross from almost the corner flag set up a header from Haris Seferovic, making the game 2-1 in stoppage time.
Lessons:
Ecuador are weak on set plays. They may be able to score from them, but with a good header of the ball and a steady corner and free kick taker in your side, teams will be able to pick them off from set plays. Despite Karim Benzema’s excellent play today, Olivier Giroud’s height and physicality might make him the choice forward to play against Ecuador in the next game.
Switzerland’s counter attacking is no joke. With Valentin Stocker, Stephan Lichtsteiner, Ricardo Rodriguez, and Xherdan Shaqiri on the sides of the pitch for the Swiss, counter attacks and crosses into the box are going to be a problem for any opponent. They should make it out of the group in the second place spot if they play like they did today.
France vs. Honduras
This one was a no brainer. Looking at betting odds isn’t even worth it. Neither is looking at their FIFA rankings, or their Elo scores. France was always going to be the favorite; Honduras, the underdog.
Having been on a good run of form, the French did not disappoint. A 43rd minute challenge from Stoke City’s Wilson Palacios saw him get sent off. That’s after he made this awful challenge on France and Juventus midfield prodigy, Paul Pogba:
Karim Benzema converted the penalty, and truly started the misery for the Hondurans. Another Karim Benzema move forced the referee to become the first to really use the goal-line technology implemented during this World Cup. Although it went down as an own-goal for the Honduras keeper, there’s no denying that this is a goal for France:
Karim Benzema would add a third goal for France later on, just to give his country a bit of a goal differential cushion.
However, the real story for France is in two places. One is the strength of their midfield. Paul Pogba, Yohan Cabaye, Mathieu Valbuena, Antoine Griezmann, and Blaise Matuidi are an imposing midfield unit, providing depth on the pitch, tracking back when the need to, and pushing forward to support their striker when the opportunity arises. Matuidi and Valbuena have proven invaluable to the side, and they should play every game for France this World Cup.
The other story is a sadder one. Patrice Evra had to be carried off late in the second half on a stretcher, thanks to a series of harsh challenges from the Hondurans. His potential replacement will need to be able to control the left side like he does, and play the crosses into the box that he is known for. Either PSG’s young Lucas Digne or old-timer Bacary Sagna will do, but Sagna’s experience should place him in the starting lineup if necessary.
Lessons:
Honduras has some anger problems, and they could get everyone in trouble. Anytime a team has a player sent off like Honduras did, there’s going to be concerns about their discipline. But the harshness of the tackles on Pogba and Evra makes me concerned for the other teams in this group. They’ll have to be vigilant of Honduras’s physicality in order to make sure all of their players make it out of these group stages in good shape. Likewise, if Honduras want any hopes of making it out of this group, they’ll need to keep themselves in check; they can’t afford to have their best players in the stands.
Blaise Matuidi completes the French team. Matuidi has been awesome since he burst onto the international scene. He’s had two amazing years at PSG, and easily carried that form over into his France career. Everybody remembers his heroics against the Netherlands a few months ago. His ability to shuttle the ball between defense and attack, and to join whichever unit needs him the most makes him dangerous and unpredictable. He’s what we all thought Rio Mavuba would have been, and what Yann M’Vila could be if he was still in the side.
Regardless of the outcome, I think that everybody can be surprised by the events of the first game during this summer’s World Cup. Following an erm… interesting(?) opening ceremony – which included everything from walking trees to performances by Brazilian superstar Claudia Leitte, JLo, and (sigh) Pitbull – the opening match was something to behold.
Before the match, the expected script read something like this:
4th minute: Neymar scores
15th minute: Neymar scores
27th minute: Fred scores
68th minute: David Luiz scores a freakish free-kick from way too far away
Blah blah blah… Croatia tries hard to score, and flops miserably in doing so
None of that happened. Well, at least not in that manner. Neymar did score, and Croatia didn’t (at least not on their own merit). And Fred did help score, just maybe not in the most, um, fashionable way.
Let’s recap, then, shall we? Seleçãochief Luiz Felipe Scolari unsurprisingly started the same team that defeated world champions Spain during the 2013 Confederations Cup. Fully understanding the tidal wave of talent and footballing ability facing him and his squad, Croatia coach Niko Kovač still decided to set out a very attacking lineup, including what were essentially three midfield playmakers. With no real defensive midfielder to ground the midfield, Real Madrid star Luka Modrić acted in his newly acquired box-to-box role, allowing Inter Milan wunderkind Mateo Kovačić to roam just behind Hull City-striker Nikica Jelavić. Sevilla star Ivan Rakitić also played in a box-to-box manner tonight, helping out in defense while putting in a solid effort all around the pitch. But it was the wingers, 34-year-old Ivica Olić and his Wolfsburg teammate Ivan Perisić that gave the team, missing Bayern Munich forward Mario Mandžukić on suspension, its bite.
So on to the action. It was the Croatian wingers that made the first goal of the day possible, with a little help from their friends of course. See the .gif below for further clarification on this 11th minute stunner…
Right, so that’s Ivica Olić running down the left side, beating captain Thiago Silva, and putting a low cross through to the box, which should have been stopped by any one of Silva, Luiz Gustavo, or David Luiz. No…no. Instead, Nikica Jelavić gets a nothing touch on it, allowing Marcelo to swiftly place it right past Júlio César into his own net. Absolutely ridiculous. Brazil 0-1 Croatia.
Croatia then defend the lead for a bit, before succumbing to a weakly shot 30th minute Neymar strike – something that keeper Stipe Pletikosa should have dealt with, considering how well he had been doing up to that point. Brazil 1-1 Croatia.
With how hard Croatia were pushing, there had to have been a goal in the works somewhere. Unfortunately, it just wasn’t meant to be for them. Instead, Brazil scored in the 68th minute thanks to this despicable act of football acting…
Fred fakes a harsh challenge, maybe coming from Dejan Lovren behind him, maybe from the incoming Vedran Ćorluka – who knows? Either way, he’s clearly already going down before either potential challenge. When the ref gave the penalty, he might as well have ended the game then.
Pletikosa tried to save the incoming Neymar penalty, and almost did, but it was just too forcefully placed, and went in. Brazil 2-1 Croatia.
The hosts ended the day with a toe-poke goal from Chelsea playmaker Oscar, that should have been saved by the likely exhausted Pletikosa. Brazil 3-1 Croatia.
So what does this all mean?
Big Phil needs to reorganize his back line. With both Paulinho and Luiz Gustavo in the side, Gustavo keeps dropping back and the back four becomes a back three, with Dani Alves and Marcelo flying forward. But Brazil’s wingers don’t need that much overlap. In fact, if Big Phil insists on starting Hulk, then Dani Alves’ defensive requirements double, considering Hulk’s inability to defend at all when the full-back and he switch places.
Croatia should consider dropping Pletikosa. He started the game strong, and could play the entire tournament uncontested. However, Pletikosa lost his faith in his side after the penalty, with no ability to really tend goal from that point on. Looking at his Squawka.com Performance Score, his score dropped to -18 and stayed there almost immediately after the penalty. With four very capable defenders in front of him, Pletikosa had better man up and believe in his side, and organize his defenders better, or Kovač is going to have some thinking to do. A conversation between Pletikosa, the defense coaches, captain and starting right-back Darijo Šrna, and the rest of the defenders should do just fine.
Ivan Rakitić and Luka Modrić are two of the best players in the tournament. This statement might be a bit overreaching, but looking at their play today, you can understand why one is almost a Barcelona player, and the other just orchestrated Real Madrid’s tenth European title. With a more clinical finisher in front of them and Mateo Kovačić, they should begin to score all the goals necessary to push their nation out of this group.
Mario Mandžukić is a necessity. Nikica Jelavić had two shots during the entire game, with only one of them on goal. And that one wasn’t even converted. He had a 42% pass accuracy, and only had one cross. Quite simply, he’s not good enough. Even young Fiorentina striker Ante Rebić, gaining his sixth senior cap tonight was better. Mario Mandžukic is enormously talented, has an eye for goal, and can hold up play when he needs to. That’s not to even mention his pace. The man is the complete striking package, and his presence will be needed for every game this tournament.
Brazil need to shake off their complacency. When they stepped onto the pitch, Brazil captain Thiago Silva had tears in his eyes. Literally. The man was crying singing his own national anthem. And then he couldn’t even keep his back line together. The Brazilians on this team are very talented, and have a lot of heart. They have the entire crowd of every stadium, as well as their entire nation behind them. They are playing at home for God’s sake. But what they need to remember is that this is a tournament, and they need to play to win. Every time, against every opponent. No exceptions. Big Phil had better be making that all perfectly clear.
Brazil should take this group easily, and Croatia should come in second. Croatia should then go head-to-head with Spain. If Croatia even want a shot, they had better improve from tonight’s performance, but keep the same amount of heart. If Brazil want a shot at coming out of this group to play either the Netherlands or Chile, then they need to get their heads in the game, each and every time. Nobody ever reads the script; Scolari needs to remind his boys of that.
This post was written by Blake Goodman, a junior at the George Washington University and football aficionado.
Wednesday marked the first set of international friendlies for the year 2014, and the first chance for fans to catch a glimpse of their nation’s preliminary lineup for this year’s World Cup in Brazil. International managers used this chance to experiment with their lineups, and, for several nations, some very high profile debuts were made. The day was fraught with expectation and national pride, and, as always, some teams experienced joy, while others suffered the disappointment of defeat.
What, though, can we take away from some of the higher profile games of the day?
1. Brazil Don’t Need Diego Costa
The Seleção emerged unscathed from their trip to Johannesburg, notching a 5-nil win against previous World Cup hosts South Africa. Earlier this season, when Brazil-born striker Diego Costa announced his intention to represent his adopted country of Spain over his birth nation, the Atlético Madrid man made quite a media splash, with Brazil manager Luiz Felipe Scolari saying, “He’s turning his back on something millions dream of doing; playing for the five-time world champions at a World Cup in Brazil.” With Costa in near-perfect form at the Rojiblancos – having scored 26 goals in 29 games in all competitions, and having contributed to 34% of his teams goals in La Liga – Seleção fans had a right to be angry; he would have made an impressive addition to their already formidable strike force, regularly consisting of Atlético Mineiro’s Jô, Fluminense’s Fred, and Santos’s Leandro Damião.
However, Brazil have continued their impressive, if not expected, good run of form from last year’s FIFA Confederations Cup, with their last loss being the 1-0 loss to Switzerland in August of last year, eight games ago. In Jo’burg, goal scorers Oscar, Fernandinho, and hat-trick hero Neymar proved to fans and pundits alike that Brazil’s strike-force is in no immediate need of help. With their nearly unmatched squad depth on the front half of the pitch, the five-time World Champions should do just fine on home soil without the addition of Costa.
2. Diego Costa May Not Be Spain’s Striker Salvation, At Least Not Yet
While fans of the Seleção may have sighed in relief after their side conquered the pitch in South Africa, Spanish fans were likely a bit disappointed at their team’s performance. Despite notching a 1-0 win against eternal dark horses Italy on Wednesday, the current World Champions seemed not to play like themselves. Despite the return of top-scorer David Villa to the lineup, it was the call up of man-of-the-hour Diego Costa that made headlines. Vicente Del Bosque has tried to see his team squarely through their striker crisis, swapping out the misfiring Fernando Torres and injury plagued David Villa for a so-called “false nine,” often using Barcelona’s Cesc Fábregas instead of a traditional forward.
Costa seemed to be the answer to Del Bosque’s prayers. With 26 goals in 29 games this season in all competitions, one would think that he would have slotted straight into the striker’s position that has been vacant since the Spaniards lifted the trophy in South Africa. However, Costa looked awkward on and off the ball, with the Rojiblancos ace having had no shots on target throughout his time on the pitch, and a pass completion rate of only 77%. Regardless, given his performances for his club in the absence of Radamel Falcao, now of AS Monaco, I have no doubt that he will play some part in La Roja’s set-up for years to come; he has too much quality not to.
In the meantime, Del Bosque might want to look at recalling Juventus-striker Fernando Llorente for the friendlies in May and June. The man has been in great form, firing La Vecchia Signora to the top of the Serie A alongside former-Manchester City bad-boy Carlos Tévez. Llorente has 13 goals in 19 Serie A outings this season, and is a seasoned veteran of the Spanish team’s lineup. With 7 goals in 23 national team games, Llorente’s experience could compliment the adjusting Costa, and could help cover up some of his miscues in Brazil.
3. Didier Deschamps Has Finally Begun To Solidify The France Midfield
Les Bleus put in a fine performance against the Netherlands on home-turf, winning the game 2-0 at the Stade de France. With the recent upturn in the quality of the French domestic league, as well as the huge number of successful French youngsters abroad, Didier Deschamps has had some tough choices to make recently, and he had a very interesting lineup ready to battle the Oranje. The inclusion of youngsters Raphaël Varane and Eliaquim Mangala at center-back, the marauding Mathieu Debuchy at right-back, and the brilliantly talented Antoine Griezmann on the left-flank, all alongside mainstays Patrice Evra, Hugo Lloris, and Karim Benzema, among others, left little to be desired from the team.
However, it wasn’t Griezmann’s first cap that stole the show, as was anticipated. Nor was it one of Hugo Lloris’s all-too-common near-impossible saves that made headlines. It was instead all about Paris Saint-Germain central-midfielder Blaise Matuidi. The man not only grounded the French midfield, helping his now-PSG teammate Yohan Cabaye to stifle the creative talents of Robin Van Persie, Wesley Sneijder, and Kevin Strootman (Matuidi had three tackles and four interceptions), but also played well going forward. Matuidi had a pass accuracy of 92%, the third highest on the team out of players that had more than 50 touches on the ball, with one key pass – the assist that led to front man Karim Benzema’s 32nd minute opener. Finally, he was the one who put the game to bed, putting both of his two shots on target (out of a total of six the team had), scoring a brilliantly styled scissor kick in the 41st minute. The man’s Whoscored.com rating of 8.48 speaks to the quality with which he played.
Matuidi’s amazing goal even spurred a near-perfect tweet from teammate and shameless self-promoter Zlatan Ibrahimović:
Hey @MATUIDIBlaise I saw your goal last night. Magnifique. You must have been watching Zlatan in training. #DareToZlatan
4. The Dutch Need To Sort Out Their Issues In Attack and Defense… Quickly
It looked like it would be a relatively positive day for the Oranje, who were arguably playing their toughest opposition in a year. Having played incredibly well throughout World Cup qualifying, the Dutch seemed to have recovered from their disastrous Euro 2012 campaign. However, despite a solid-looking team filled with qualifying mainstays such as Wesley Sneijder and Robin Van Persie, as well as many talented youngsters, including Jean-Paul Boëtius, Quincy Promes, and Daley Blind, the Oranje fell to a 2-0 defeat at the hands of Les Bleus.
The inexperience of the squad showed, with Boëtius and Promes allowing both Mathieu Debuchy and Patrice Evra to continually bound up each flank. Blaise Matuidi and Yohan Cabaye worked well to keep the creative talents of Wesley Sneijder at bay. Louis van Gaal decided to play Ajax youngster Daley Blind at left back, a position he doesn’t regularly play for his club anymore; that fact became rather obvious. Blind was unable to deal with Debuchy, collapsing under the Newcastle United man’s pressure, not to mention that of Mathieu Valbuena, or even that of Blaise Matuidi. It is thoroughly unsurprising that between these two factors, both of the French goals came from the right side.
The squad had uncharacteristically poor discipline as well, committing 17 fouls compared to the French 10, further signs of inexperience, or a lack of confidence. The Dutch also looked toothless in attack, with @OptaJohann explaining that this was only the continuation of a recent trend:
2 – The Netherlands have only scored two goals over their last three matches, their worst run since Euro 2012. Drought.
With the best performance of the night coming from captain Ron Vlaar, who ended the evening with a relatively poor Whoscored.com rating of 7.04, Van Gaal needs to reevaluate his team’s defensive capabilities before they land in Brazil. As poor as Blind might have played, Van Gaal might want to keep him in the team for their central midfield, replacing him at left-back with Euro 2012-débutante Jetro Willems of PSV Eindhoven. Willems, a Bert van Marwijk surprise entry into the Oranje, has proved an able player, with four goals and three assists in his 23 Eredivisie games this season. Impressively, the statistic that makes Willems my choice for left-back would be his 1.2 key passes per game in the Eredivisie, something that Blind cannot match when playing in the same position.
As well, Van Gaal might give some thought to playing Daryl Janmaat more consistently at right full-back, rather than PSG’s Gregory van der Wiel. While both Van der Wiel and Janmaat have similar tackles per game – each one with 2.5 tackles per game in the Eredivisie – Janmaat is a more all around defender, with better discipline (0.9 fouls vs. Van der Wiel’s 1.2) and more key passes per game (1.3 per game vs. 0.7).
Feyenoord’s Daryl Janmaat could be a better defensive option than PSG’s Gregory van der Wiel
Whatever Van Gaal does, he needs to figure it out fast. With the Dutch, inventors of modern game, looking to bounce back from the tragedy of Euro 2012, Louis van Gaal is going to have to bring the best out of his team, encouraging the older members to lead their younger counterparts to play the possession based attacking football that have been famous for. They have the quality. Now they need to put that talent into action.
5. Germany’s Squad May Be Deep, But There Is A Bottom Of The Talent Barrel
Coming out of an underwhelming 90 minutes, Germany emerged 1-0 winners against visitors Chile. While Joachim Löw’s men won the day, they were far from their best. Despite putting in a decent performance, including the assist for the only goal of the game, Arsenal star Mesut Özil was booed off the pitch, and Özil as well as Toni Kroos and Mario Götze were poor at helping their midfield pivot by tracking back under Chilean pressure.
Regardless of what fan’s thought of the admittedly out-of-form Özil’s performance, many of Die Mannschaft’s issues begin with their full backs. Captain Philipp Lahm’s move at the club level from right back to central defensive midfielder was mimicked on Wednesday night in order to compensate for the loss of Real Madrid injured Sami Khedira. With no like-for-like replacement for Lahm, Löw decided to utilize the defensive talents of left-midfielder Kevin Großkreutz to make up the deficit, a job he did to the best of his ability. Giving first choice (read: only choice) left back Marcel Schmelzer a deserved rest, Löw recalled Hamburg player Marcell Jansen, who ended up tearing the ligaments in his left foot, and being replaced by Schmelzer himself after only 24 minutes. The issue’s beginning seems quite clear.
If Germany wants to get back on the right foot before they land in Brazil, they’re going to have to fix their full back issues. The solution is simple in theory, though difficult in practice. Löw must bring Philipp Lahm back to his natural right back position, allowing him to command from the back. In order to do so, he will need to give Bastian Schweinsteiger a new partner in the 4-2-3-1’s midfield pivot, someone who can replace the intensity that Sami Khedira brought to the game. For me, that man would be Bayer Leverkusen’s Lars Bender. In fact, my solution is not really my own in this regard; Löw attempted to bring Bender in against Chile. However, after receiving the call, Bender was injured in a league match, with an expected date of return of March 7th. Bender, along with his twin, Borussia Dortmund midfielder Sven Bender, could be Germany’s midfield backbone in Brazil, providing the same muscle alongside the commanding presence of Schweinsteiger that Khedira would have done.
The Bender Twins (Lars, at left; Sven, at right) could be Joachim Löw’s answer to the loss of Khedira.
If their clubs can keep the Bender twins and Marcel Schmelzer fit, and Die Mannschaft’s captain can avoid major injury, Joachim Löw should be able to use his nation’s squad depth in other positions in order to assemble a squad capable of competing at the top level in Brazil.
6. Italy Need To Decide On A Formation, And Then Pick Their Squad
Cesare Prandelli may not have been a prolific player during his club career, but he has undoubtedly become a well-respected manager, at least within the sphere of Italian football. Where once the man had never received a national call-up, now he leads his nation as manager to the final stages of major tournaments. This is of course not just a testament to him and his ability as a manager, but also to the quality of the players with which he works. Regardless of what people may say about the level of top-flight Italian club football, teams in Italy hold the cards of some of the best players in the world, including Giuseppe Rossi, Gianluigi Buffon, Giorgio Chiellini, Mario Balotelli, Daniele De Rossi, and Andrea Pirlo.
This all calls into question the mixed-bag of results that I Azzurri have received under their manager. The Italians have drawn every single one of their last five games before Wednesday’s disappointing 1-0 loss to Spain. The reason? An unacceptable lack in consistency in the formation in which they play.
During the Euro 2012 group stages, Italy – coming out of a very poor showing at the 2010 World Cup – drew tournament favorites Spain 1-1, playing with a Juventus-like 3-5-2. Why did it work? Mostly because six of the starting XI played for that club. Then, only three weeks later, after shockingly defeating England and Germany while playing a 4-3-1-2, Prandelli goes against his better judgment and chooses the latter formation, despite having seen the 3-5-2 work to neutralize Spain’s tiki-taka style. The result? Italy lost to Spain. The 4-0 defeat at Kiev’s Olympic Stadium was all that Italy became known for during the competition, and they walked away second-fiddle to the now two-time European Champions.
Italian players consoling one another and congratulating opponents Spain on their second consecutive European Championship
During 2013’s FIFA Confederations Cup, a similar story emerged. After notching two wins and a loss in the group stages while playing either a 4-3-2-1 or a 4-2-3-1, Italy had to play Spain in the semi finals. Remembering Euro 2012, Prandelli plays three at the back again. Once again, they draw the Spaniards, and the game goes to penalties, where La Roja won 7-6. Prandelli’s formational tinkering strikes again.
Prandelli needs to find a formation and stick to it. His new obsession seems to be the inclusion of wingers in his four-at-the-back formation, as can be seen by the inclusion of Alessio Cerci and Antonio Candreva in his starting line-up on Wednesday. Whatever his decision, Prandelli needs to pick a formation to teach his squad, so that they can gel the way that they should have already. This is not to say that squads shouldn’t have flexibility. On the contrary, I believe that the number of Juventus players and Walter Mazzari-era Napoli players in the squad means that if the team needs to play three at the back, they’ll be able to, no matter what the decision is. All that’s left for Prandelli to decide is whether that’s going to be his go-to, or his backup.
(All match and league statistics are from Whoscored.com. GIFs and photos are from Tumblr. Videos are from YouTube. Tweets are attributed to their embedded authors.)
![Dries Mertens goal against Algeria a Dries Mertens go ahead goal [Belgium Algeria]](https://i0.wp.com/gifsection.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/Dries-Mertens-goal-against-Algeria-a.gif "Dries Mertens go ahead goal [Belgium Algeria]")
![Admir Mehmedi equalizer against Ecuador Admir Mehmedi goal [Switzerland Ecuador]](https://i0.wp.com/gifsection.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/Admir-Mehmedi-equalizer-against-Ecuador.gif "Admir Mehmedi goal [Switzerland Ecuador]")
Lessons:
Power Forward 